TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Herbert vs K. Uchida (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with P. Herbert favoured at 1.14.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Herbert | K. Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.9% | 48.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
58.2% | 41.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
55.0% | 45.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
82.8% | 17.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Herbert | hard | 1650 | 85–71 | 156 |
| K. Uchida | hard | 1485 | 159–162 | 321 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 10, 2026.
P. Herbert leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | P. Herbert | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Kopp | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | T. Monteiro | 2 - 1 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | P. Jubb | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Landaluce | 1 - 2 | June 8, 2026 |
| W | M. Alkaya | 0 - 2 | June 7, 2026 |
| L | A. Galarneau | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | D. Milavsky | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | J. Kennedy | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | B. Tomic | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | Q. Vandecasteele | 2 - 0 | June 14, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used