P. Badosa vs T. Zidansek — Prediction & Analysis

Iasi · WTA Iasi - Semi-finals · July 18, 2026 · 17:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Zidansek (moneyline) at 3.65 in P. Badosa vs T. Zidansek (Iasi on 2026-07-18). Result: LOST.

Surface clay Odds P. Badosa 1.28 · T. Zidansek 3.65

Bot bet

T. Zidansek (moneyline) @ 3.65 · 1.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: P. Badosa · T. Zidansek · head-to-head record · Iasi

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method P. Badosa T. Zidansek
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
63.1% 36.9%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
69.1% 30.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
47.4% 52.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
64.0% 36.0%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
74.0% 26.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
P. Badosa clay1835 53–2881
T. Zidansek clay1679 107–61168

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.

Head to head

P. Badosa leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 18, 2026IasiclayP. Badosa2 - 1

Recent form

P. Badosa

L C. Gauff 0 - 2 Sept. 3, 2026
W D. Kasatkina 0 - 2 Sept. 2, 2026
L M. Sherif 2 - 1 July 24, 2026
W P. Udvardy 2 - 0 July 23, 2026
W K. Kawa 0 - 2 July 22, 2026

T. Zidansek

L T. J. Brockmann 1 - 2 Sept. 7, 2026
L M. Timofeeva 0 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
W B. Andreescu 2 - 1 Aug. 28, 2026
W G. Maristany 2 - 0 Aug. 26, 2026
W L. Samson 1 - 2 Aug. 25, 2026

All July 18, 2026 results & picks →

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