TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Kraus +4.5 (game handicap) at 1.92 in P. Badosa vs S. Kraus (Guangzhou on 2026-10-28). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Badosa | S. Kraus |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.4% | 41.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
67.5% | 32.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
30.3% | 69.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.0% | 48.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
69.2% | 30.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 3, 2026.
P. Badosa leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 28, 2026 | Guangzhou | hard | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 |
| March 12, 2026 | Austin | hard | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 |
| L | E. Pridankina | 1 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | H. Dart | 1 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Kraus | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 1 - 2 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | P. Udvardy | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | T. Gibson | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | C. McNally | 0 - 1 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| W | S. Kenin | 2 - 0 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
All Oct. 28, 2026 results & picks →