P. Badosa vs P. Udvardy — Prediction & Analysis

Hamburg · WTA Hamburg - 1/8-finals · July 23, 2026 · 08:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing P. Udvardy +3.5 (game handicap) at 1.95 in P. Badosa vs P. Udvardy (Hamburg on 2026-07-23). Result: LOST.

Surface clay Odds P. Badosa 1.42 · P. Udvardy 2.87

Bot bet

P. Udvardy +3.5 (game handicap) @ 1.95 · 1.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: P. Badosa · P. Udvardy · head-to-head record · Hamburg

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method P. Badosa P. Udvardy
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
68.5% 31.5%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
76.2% 23.8%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
54.9% 45.1%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
66.6% 33.4%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
66.9% 33.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
P. Badosa clay1835 53–2881
P. Udvardy clay1702 179–102281

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.

Head to head

P. Badosa leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 23, 2026HamburgclayP. Badosa2 - 0
July 17, 2026IasiclayP. Badosa2 - 0

Recent form

P. Badosa

L C. Gauff 0 - 2 Sept. 3, 2026
W D. Kasatkina 0 - 2 Sept. 2, 2026
L M. Sherif 2 - 1 July 24, 2026
W P. Udvardy 2 - 0 July 23, 2026
W K. Kawa 0 - 2 July 22, 2026

P. Udvardy

W L. Boisson 2 - 1 Sept. 13, 2026
L M. Sawangkaew 2 - 0 Aug. 31, 2026
L E. Mertens 1 - 2 Aug. 26, 2026
W M. Joint 2 - 0 Aug. 25, 2026
L D. Vidmanova 1 - 2 Aug. 23, 2026

All July 23, 2026 results & picks →

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