TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in O. Virtanen vs P. Martinez (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with O. Virtanen favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | O. Virtanen | P. Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
81.5% | 18.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
82.7% | 17.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
81.9% | 18.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
81.2% | 18.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Virtanen | hard | 1724 | 122–77 | 199 |
| P. Martinez | clay | 1631 | 123–103 | 226 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 7, 2026.
O. Virtanen leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | O. Virtanen | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | F. Romano | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | D. Dedura | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | H. Squire | 0 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| L | H. Dellien | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | H. Rocha | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | D. Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used