O. Virtanen vs G. Dimitrov — Prediction & Analysis

US Open · ATP US Open - Final · Aug. 27, 2026 · 15:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing O. Virtanen (moneyline) at 3.75 in O. Virtanen vs G. Dimitrov (US Open on 2026-08-27). Result: VOID.

Surface hard Odds O. Virtanen 3.00 · G. Dimitrov 1.44

Bot bet

O. Virtanen (moneyline) @ 3.75 · 0.5u
Result: VOID
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: O. Virtanen · G. Dimitrov · head-to-head record · US Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method O. Virtanen G. Dimitrov
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
40.6% 59.4%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
41.6% 58.4%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
30.1% 69.9%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
35.8% 64.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
32.4% 67.6%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
O. Virtanen hard1701 125–81206
G. Dimitrov hard1810 108–76184

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 31, 2026.

Head to head

G. Dimitrov leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 27, 2026US OpenhardG. DimitrovWalk Over

Recent form

O. Virtanen

L A. Rublev 2 - 3 Aug. 31, 2026
L G. Dimitrov Walk Over Aug. 27, 2026
W J. Pinnington Jones 2 - 1 Aug. 26, 2026
W U. Blanchet 2 - 0 Aug. 24, 2026
L M. Echargui 0 - 2 Aug. 19, 2026

G. Dimitrov

L A. Popyrin 1 - 3 Aug. 31, 2026
W O. Virtanen Walk Over Aug. 27, 2026
W T. Skatov 0 - 2 Aug. 26, 2026
W L. Giustino 0 - 2 Aug. 25, 2026
L S. Baez 2 - 1 Aug. 14, 2026

All Aug. 27, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →