TennisEdge's AI bot is backing O. Virtanen (moneyline) at 5.40 in O. Virtanen vs A. Rublev (US Open on 2026-08-31). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | O. Virtanen | A. Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
30.4% | 69.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
40.5% | 59.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
33.1% | 66.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
30.5% | 69.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
20.1% | 79.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Virtanen | hard | 1701 | 125–81 | 206 |
| A. Rublev | hard | 1827 | 165–94 | 259 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 31, 2026.
A. Rublev leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 31, 2026 | US Open | hard | A. Rublev | 3 - 2 |
| L | A. Rublev | 2 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | G. Dimitrov | Walk Over | Aug. 27, 2026 |
| W | J. Pinnington Jones | 2 - 1 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | U. Blanchet | 2 - 0 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | M. Echargui | 0 - 2 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
| L | D. Merida Aguilar | 3 - 1 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | O. Virtanen | 2 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | N. Borges | 0 - 2 | Aug. 18, 2026 |
| W | P. Carreno-Busta | 2 - 0 | Aug. 16, 2026 |
| L | J. Shang | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
All Aug. 31, 2026 results & picks →