TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in O. Tarvet vs S. Sakellaridis (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25) — the market is efficient, with O. Tarvet favoured at 1.48.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | O. Tarvet | S. Sakellaridis |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.0% | 42.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.4% | 49.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.2% | 54.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.6% | 45.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
63.5% | 36.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Tarvet | hard | 1642 | 52–17 | 69 |
| S. Sakellaridis | hard | 1685 | 136–90 | 226 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
O. Tarvet leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | O. Tarvet | 3 - 0 |
| W | E. Hudd | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | R. Hohmann | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | R. Dhokia | 0 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | S. Dominko | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | B. Gusic Wan | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | O. Tarvet | 3 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | F. Coria | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | Y. H. Hsu | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Droguet | 2 - 0 | June 18, 2026 |
| W | C. Tabur | 1 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used