TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in O. Tarvet vs A. Bolt (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with O. Tarvet favoured at 1.83.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | O. Tarvet | A. Bolt |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.9% | 62.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
24.8% | 75.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.2% | 42.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.0% | 57.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
O. Tarvet leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | O. Tarvet | 2 - 0 |
| W | E. Hudd | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | R. Hohmann | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | R. Dhokia | 0 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | S. Dominko | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | B. Gusic Wan | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | J. McCabe | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | O. Tarvet | 2 - 0 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | M. Bellucci | 2 - 1 | June 14, 2026 |
| W | J. Mackenzie | 1 - 2 | June 13, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used