TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in O. Oliynykova vs M. Uchijima (Bastad on 2026-07-06) — the market is efficient, with O. Oliynykova favoured at 1.70.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | O. Oliynykova | M. Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.3% | 34.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.3% | 54.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.4% | 50.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.3% | 34.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.3% | 44.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Oliynykova | clay | 1771 | 174–75 | 249 |
| M. Uchijima | hard | 1671 | 139–105 | 244 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 6, 2026 | Bastad | clay | M. Uchijima | 2 - 1 |
| March 7, 2026 | Antalya 2 | clay | O. Oliynykova | 2 - 0 |
| L | Ka. Pliskova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Avanesyan | Walk Over | July 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | N. M. Schunk | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | C. Bucsa | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | H. Sakatsume | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Inglis | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Khan | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Kinoshita | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used