TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Hontama (moneyline) at 2.08 in O. Oliynykova vs M. Hontama (Tokyo on 2026-10-24). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | O. Oliynykova | M. Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.4% | 45.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
46.9% | 53.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
65.2% | 34.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
55.5% | 44.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Oliynykova | hard | 1378 | 18–26 | 44 |
| M. Hontama | hard | 1585 | 161–131 | 292 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 3, 2026.
M. Hontama leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 24, 2026 | Tokyo | hard | M. Hontama | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Gibson | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | M. Stoiana | 0 - 2 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | A. Falei | 0 - 1 | Oct. 8, 2026 |
| W | W. Zheng | 2 - 0 | Oct. 6, 2026 |
| L | M. Linette | 1 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | Z. Kulambayeva | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Sawangkaew | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Joint | 0 - 2 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | O. Oliynykova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
All Oct. 24, 2026 results & picks →