O. Luz vs C. Tabur — Prediction & Analysis

Estoril · ATP Estoril - Final · July 19, 2026 · 14:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing O. Luz (moneyline) at 6.50 in O. Luz vs C. Tabur (Estoril on 2026-07-19). Result: WON.

Surface clay Odds O. Luz 6.50 · C. Tabur 1.11

Bot bet

O. Luz (moneyline) @ 6.50 · 2.0u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: O. Luz · C. Tabur · head-to-head record · Estoril

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method O. Luz C. Tabur
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
32.9% 67.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
21.5% 78.5%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
49.6% 50.4%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
28.7% 71.3%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
14.6% 85.4%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
O. Luz clay1536 137–95232
C. Tabur clay1616 156–93249

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.

Head to head

O. Luz leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 19, 2026EstorilclayO. Luz2 - 0

Recent form

O. Luz

L N. Borges 2 - 0 July 21, 2026
W C. Tabur 2 - 0 July 19, 2026
W C. H. Tseng 1 - 0 July 18, 2026
L N. Gombos 2 - 0 July 6, 2026
W A. Sanchez Quilez 2 - 0 July 5, 2026

C. Tabur

L B. Shick 2 - 0 Aug. 25, 2026
L H. Squire 1 - 2 July 28, 2026
L O. Luz 2 - 0 July 19, 2026
W E. Butvilas 1 - 2 July 18, 2026
L A. Rinderknech 2 - 1 July 15, 2026

All July 19, 2026 results & picks →

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