TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in O. Crawford vs J. Rodionov (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with J. Rodionov favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | O. Crawford | J. Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.7% | 45.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
32.0% | 68.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.5% | 48.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.3% | 58.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.2% | 68.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Crawford | clay | 1555 | 142–73 | 215 |
| J. Rodionov | hard | 1651 | 134–95 | 229 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 31, 2026.
J. Rodionov leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | J. Rodionov | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Martineau | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Sanchez Quilez | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Marti Pujolras | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | C. Rodesch | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| L | J. Mackenzie | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | N. McDonald | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | P. Boscardin Dias | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | T. M. Etcheverry | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | J. J. Schwaerzler | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used