TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Vukadin vs G. A. Olivieri (Umag on 2026-07-11) — the market is efficient, with G. A. Olivieri favoured at 1.28.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Vukadin | G. A. Olivieri |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
30.1% | 69.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.5% | 61.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
66.2% | 33.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.0% | 60.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
26.8% | 73.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vukadin | clay | 1397 | 14–16 | 30 |
| G. A. Olivieri | clay | 1569 | 160–141 | 301 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 11, 2026.
G. A. Olivieri leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 11, 2026 | Umag | clay | G. A. Olivieri | 2 - 0 |
| L | G. A. Olivieri | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | B. Barun | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | J. Vrba | 1 - 0 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | D. Ajdukovic | 2 - 1 | May 31, 2026 |
| W | T. Pereira | 1 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
| L | V. Gaubas | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Taberner | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | G. I. Justo | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | M. Zielinski | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | J. Lassila | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
All July 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used