TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Slavic vs M. Damas (Bastad on 2026-07-12) — the market is efficient, with M. Damas favoured at 1.14.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Slavic | M. Damas |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
19.3% | 80.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
14.5% | 85.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
19.3% | 80.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
17.2% | 82.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 10, 2026.
M. Damas leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 12, 2026 | Bastad | clay | M. Damas | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Thanos | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | V. Radjenovic | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Damas | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | F. Bass | 0 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| L | L. Wiedenmann | 0 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | M. Brunold | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Vallejo | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | T. Faurel | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | N. Slavic | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
All July 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used