N. Osaka vs A. Eala — Prediction & Analysis

Washington · · Aug. 1, 2026 · 19:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Eala (moneyline) at 2.62 in N. Osaka vs A. Eala (Washington on 2026-08-01). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds N. Osaka 1.49 · A. Eala 2.62

Bot bet

A. Eala (moneyline) @ 2.62 · 1.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: N. Osaka · A. Eala · head-to-head record · Washington

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method N. Osaka A. Eala
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
60.4% 39.6%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
42.1% 57.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
61.7% 38.3%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
57.2% 42.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
63.7% 36.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
N. Osaka hard1955 91–41132
A. Eala hard1879 186–98284

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 29, 2026.

Head to head

A. Eala leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 1, 2026WashingtonhardA. Eala2 - 0

Recent form

N. Osaka

L M. Pohankova 0 - 2 Oct. 29, 2026
W J. Paolini 2 - 0 Oct. 27, 2026
L K. Muchova 2 - 1 Oct. 6, 2026
W S. Bejlek 0 - 2 Oct. 4, 2026
W M. Timofeeva 1 - 2 Oct. 2, 2026

A. Eala

L C. Liu 2 - 0 Nov. 8, 2026
W M. Sakkari 1 - 2 Nov. 7, 2026
W A. Ruzic 0 - 2 Nov. 6, 2026
W T. Valentova 0 - 2 Nov. 5, 2026
W E. Jones 0 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026

All Aug. 1, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →