TennisEdge's AI bot is backing N. Noha Akugue (moneyline) at 1.85 in N. Noha Akugue vs M. Rapolu (Caldas da Rainha on 2026-09-16). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Noha Akugue | M. Rapolu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
67.2% | 32.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
71.9% | 28.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.6% | 42.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.6% | 34.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.9% | 42.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Noha Akugue | hard | 1688 | 69–49 | 118 |
| M. Rapolu | hard | 1628 | 90–50 | 140 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 7, 2026.
M. Rapolu leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 17, 2026 | Caldas da Rainha | hard | M. Rapolu | 2 - 1 |
| L | S. Lansere | 2 - 0 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | J. Mikulskyte | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Sawant | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | W. Mdlulwa | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | A. Charaeva | 0 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| L | J. Hinojosa Gomez | 0 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | D. Tran | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | D. Cherubini | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | D. Cherubini | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | V. Rodriguez | 2 - 1 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
All Sept. 16, 2026 results & picks →