TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Noha Akugue vs I. Burillo Escorihuela (Bastad on 2026-07-06) — the market is efficient, with N. Noha Akugue favoured at 1.12.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Noha Akugue | I. Burillo Escorihuela |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
67.5% | 32.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
81.9% | 18.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
69.0% | 31.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
75.8% | 24.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
82.1% | 17.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Noha Akugue | clay | 1601 | 114–85 | 199 |
| I. Burillo Escorihuela | clay | 1508 | 132–127 | 259 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 22, 2026.
I. Burillo Escorihuela leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 6, 2026 | Bastad | clay | I. Burillo Escorihuela | 2 - 1 |
| W | J. Avdeeva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Steiner | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | D. Astakhova | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | I. M. Serban | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | K. Quevedo | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | S. Lansere | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | N. M. Schunk | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | T. J. Brockmann | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used