N. Noha Akugue vs G. Maristany — Prediction & Analysis

Montreux · Montreux - Semi-finals · Sept. 12, 2026 · 08:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing G. Maristany (moneyline) at 1.94 in N. Noha Akugue vs G. Maristany (Montreux on 2026-09-12). Result: LOST.

Surface clay Odds N. Noha Akugue 1.75 · G. Maristany 1.95

Bot bet

G. Maristany (moneyline) @ 1.94 · 1.0u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: N. Noha Akugue · G. Maristany · head-to-head record · Montreux

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method N. Noha Akugue G. Maristany
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
49.9% 50.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
41.4% 58.6%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
47.8% 52.2%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
46.3% 53.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
52.7% 47.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
N. Noha Akugue clay1624 118–87205
G. Maristany clay1681 126–88214

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 13, 2026.

Head to head

N. Noha Akugue leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Sept. 12, 2026MontreuxclayN. Noha Akugue2 - 0
Aug. 30, 2022W60 Prague 2clayN. Noha Akugue2 - 1

Recent form

N. Noha Akugue

L S. Lansere 2 - 0 Nov. 7, 2026
W J. Mikulskyte 0 - 2 Nov. 6, 2026
W M. Sawant 0 - 2 Nov. 5, 2026
W W. Mdlulwa 0 - 2 Nov. 4, 2026
L A. Charaeva 0 - 2 Nov. 1, 2026

G. Maristany

L C. Burel 2 - 0 Oct. 16, 2026
W M. Matoula 0 - 2 Oct. 14, 2026
W G. Feistel 0 - 2 Oct. 13, 2026
L J. Grabher 0 - 2 Sept. 27, 2026
W J. Pieri 2 - 0 Sept. 26, 2026

All Sept. 12, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →