TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Moreno De Alboran vs H. Mayot (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with H. Mayot favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Moreno De Alboran | H. Mayot |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.2% | 45.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
32.7% | 67.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.2% | 45.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
35.5% | 64.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Moreno De Alboran | clay | 1615 | 104–64 | 168 |
| H. Mayot | hard | 1662 | 110–91 | 201 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 18, 2026.
H. Mayot leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | H. Mayot | 2 - 0 |
| L | H. Mayot | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | A. Pellegrino | 2 - 0 | May 18, 2026 |
| L | M. Tobon | 0 - 2 | March 31, 2026 |
| L | G. A. Olivieri | 0 - 2 | March 13, 2026 |
| W | I. Marcondes | 1 - 2 | March 11, 2026 |
| W | F. Pieczonka | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | K. Feldbausch | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | D. Dietrich | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Brunold | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | R. Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used