TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Mejia vs G. Heide (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with G. Heide favoured at 1.45.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Mejia | G. Heide |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.0% | 44.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.6% | 36.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.4% | 46.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
37.7% | 62.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | N. Mejia | 2 - 0 |
| June 21, 2023 | Cali Challenger Men | clay | G. Heide | 2 - 0 |
| W | M. Landaluce | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Hernandez | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Soto | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 1 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | K. Feldbausch | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | T. Droguet | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | C. Cretu | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | D. Poljak | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | M. Cecchinato | 0 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used