TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Gombos vs N. Sanchez Izquierdo (Umag on 2026-07-11) — the market is efficient, with N. Sanchez Izquierdo favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Gombos | N. Sanchez Izquierdo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.3% | 62.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
42.9% | 57.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.2% | 53.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
39.8% | 60.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
33.7% | 66.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Gombos | clay | 1619 | 104–76 | 180 |
| N. Sanchez Izquierdo | clay | 1629 | 206–158 | 364 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
N. Sanchez Izquierdo leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 11, 2026 | Umag | clay | N. Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 0 |
| L | G. Bueno | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | K. Feldbausch | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | F. Roncadelli | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Cerny | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | T. Berkieta | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | E. Vasa | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. C. Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | N. Gombos | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | H. Dellien | 1 - 2 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | A. Barrena | 2 - 0 | July 9, 2026 |
All July 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used