TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Budkov Kjaer vs O. Virtanen (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25) — the market is efficient, with O. Virtanen favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Budkov Kjaer | O. Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
29.4% | 70.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.5% | 63.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
22.1% | 78.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
28.2% | 71.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
25.6% | 74.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Budkov Kjaer | clay | 1628 | 52–30 | 82 |
| O. Virtanen | hard | 1724 | 122–77 | 199 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
N. Budkov Kjaer leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | O. Virtanen | 3 - 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Rome | clay | N. Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 1 |
| March 7, 2026 | Thionville | hard | N. Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 1 |
| L | S. Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | S. Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Pellegrino | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | O. Virtanen | 1 - 3 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | M. Dodig | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | F. Romano | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | D. Dedura | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | H. Squire | 0 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used