TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Budkov Kjaer vs M. Dodig (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with N. Budkov Kjaer favoured at 1.48.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Budkov Kjaer | M. Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.3% | 47.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.3% | 25.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.3% | 47.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
63.5% | 36.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Budkov Kjaer | clay | 1628 | 52–30 | 82 |
| M. Dodig | clay | 1644 | 103–65 | 168 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | N. Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 27, 2026 | Lugano | clay | M. Dodig | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | S. Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Pellegrino | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | O. Virtanen | 1 - 3 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | M. Dodig | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | O. Krutykh | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. Opitz | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | P. Carreno-Busta | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | H. Dellien | 1 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | H. Squire | 2 - 1 | July 11, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used