TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Brancaccio vs A. Lazaro Garcia (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with A. Lazaro Garcia favoured at 1.38.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Brancaccio | A. Lazaro Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.0% | 55.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
35.6% | 64.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.4% | 61.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.8% | 65.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Brancaccio | clay | 1632 | 175–127 | 302 |
| A. Lazaro Garcia | clay | 1688 | 116–82 | 198 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Lazaro Garcia | 2 - 0 |
| July 5, 2025 | W75 Bucharest | clay | N. Brancaccio | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Palicova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | N. M. Schunk | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | J. Stusek | Walk Over | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Buyukakcay | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Ristic | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | C. Paquet | 1 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Pigossi | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | N. Podoroska | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | Z. Kulambayeva | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Korneeva | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used