TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Basiletti vs J. Struplova (Ljubljana on 2026-09-16) — the market is efficient, with N. Basiletti favoured at 1.73.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Basiletti | J. Struplova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.7% | 48.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.7% | 54.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
62.3% | 37.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.2% | 46.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
53.2% | 46.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Basiletti | clay | 1603 | 38–35 | 73 |
| J. Struplova | clay | 1609 | 145–74 | 219 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 14, 2026.
| W | L. Radivojevic | 0 - 2 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| W | B. Palicova | 1 - 2 | Aug. 9, 2026 |
| W | K. L. Ebeling | 0 - 2 | Aug. 8, 2026 |
| W | M. Matoula | 1 - 2 | Aug. 7, 2026 |
| W | J. Lim | 2 - 0 | Aug. 5, 2026 |
| W | P. Hercog | 0 - 2 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Ibragimova | 0 - 2 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | P. Iatcenko | 2 - 0 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | S. Zhiyenbayeva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Rame | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
All Sept. 16, 2026 results & picks →