TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Basilashvili vs E. Ymer (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with N. Basilashvili favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Basilashvili | E. Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.2% | 45.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
37.8% | 62.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.5% | 36.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.4% | 45.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.8% | 39.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Basilashvili | hard | 1638 | 77–89 | 166 |
| E. Ymer | hard | 1578 | 79–96 | 175 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 19, 2026.
E. Ymer leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | E. Ymer | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 14, 2026 | Doha | hard | E. Ymer | 1 - 0 |
| Feb. 16, 2022 | Doha | hard | N. Basilashvili | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Poljicak | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Vrbensky | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. Torres | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | J. Choinski | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used