N. Basilashvili vs B. Van De Zandschulp — Prediction & Analysis

Chengdu · · Sept. 25, 2026 · 08:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing B. Van De Zandschulp (moneyline) at 1.54 in N. Basilashvili vs B. Van De Zandschulp (Chengdu on 2026-09-25). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds N. Basilashvili 2.77 · B. Van De Zandschulp 1.46

Bot bet

B. Van De Zandschulp (moneyline) @ 1.54 · 2.0u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: N. Basilashvili · B. Van De Zandschulp · head-to-head record · Chengdu

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method N. Basilashvili B. Van De Zandschulp
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
23.8% 76.2%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
25.1% 74.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
41.4% 58.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
30.1% 69.9%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
34.5% 65.5%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
N. Basilashvili hard1758 94–98192
B. Van De Zandschulp hard1808 123–94217

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 8, 2026.

Head to head

N. Basilashvili leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Sept. 25, 2026ChengduhardN. Basilashvili2 - 0

Recent form

N. Basilashvili

L B. Gojo 0 - 2 Nov. 8, 2026
W F. Passaro 2 - 0 Nov. 7, 2026
L C. Alcaraz 0 - 2 Oct. 29, 2026
W J. Rodionov 0 - 2 Oct. 28, 2026
L D. Medvedev 2 - 1 Oct. 25, 2026

B. Van De Zandschulp

L U. Humbert 2 - 1 Nov. 2, 2026
L A. Michelsen 2 - 1 Oct. 27, 2026
L C. Chidekh 0 - 2 Oct. 20, 2026
L R. Jodar 1 - 2 Oct. 14, 2026
W A. Fils 0 - 2 Oct. 12, 2026

All Sept. 25, 2026 results & picks →

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