TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Uchijima vs I. Burillo Escorihuela (Bastad on 2026-07-08) — the market is efficient, with M. Uchijima favoured at 1.31.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Uchijima | I. Burillo Escorihuela |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
76.7% | 23.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
73.9% | 26.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
61.5% | 38.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
70.3% | 29.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
70.2% | 29.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Uchijima | hard | 1671 | 139–105 | 244 |
| I. Burillo Escorihuela | clay | 1508 | 132–127 | 259 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 8, 2026 | Bastad | clay | I. Burillo Escorihuela | 2 - 1 |
| May 28, 2024 | WTA French Open | clay | M. Uchijima | 2 - 0 |
| W | C. Bucsa | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | H. Sakatsume | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Inglis | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Khan | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Kinoshita | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | I. M. Serban | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | K. Quevedo | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | S. Lansere | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | N. M. Schunk | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | T. J. Brockmann | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
All July 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used