TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Ruggeri +4.5 (game handicap) at 1.91 in M. Trevisan vs J. Ruggeri (Montreux on 2026-09-08). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Trevisan | J. Ruggeri |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.9% | 46.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.2% | 39.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
80.5% | 19.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
64.8% | 35.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
73.9% | 26.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Trevisan | clay | 1605 | 80–61 | 141 |
| J. Ruggeri | clay | 1612 | 95–78 | 173 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 16, 2026.
M. Trevisan leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 8, 2026 | Montreux | clay | M. Trevisan | 2 - 1 |
| June 8, 2026 | Modena (Italy) - Qualification | clay | M. Trevisan | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Burel | Walk Over | Sept. 16, 2026 |
| W | L. Romero Gormaz | 1 - 2 | Sept. 15, 2026 |
| L | G. Maristany | 1 - 2 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | J. Ruggeri | 2 - 1 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| W | E. Bonelli | 2 - 0 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| L | M. Paoletti | 2 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Okutoyi | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | N. Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | E. Tichackova | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | C. N. Todoni | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
All Sept. 8, 2026 results & picks →