TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Timofeeva vs V. Podrez (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with M. Timofeeva favoured at 1.62.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Timofeeva | V. Podrez |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
33.4% | 66.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
72.7% | 27.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
33.4% | 66.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.6% | 42.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Timofeeva | hard | 1616 | 92–61 | 153 |
| V. Podrez | hard | 1673 | 62–32 | 94 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
M. Timofeeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Li | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Haddad Maia | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | E. Micic | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | C. Y. Lee | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | R. Saigo | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | T. Krejcova | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | A. Voloshchuk | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used