TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Sieg vs I. Burillo Escorihuela (Valencia on 2026-09-15) — the market is efficient, with I. Burillo Escorihuela favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Sieg | I. Burillo Escorihuela |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
32.8% | 67.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
23.5% | 76.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
36.0% | 64.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
30.8% | 69.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
37.5% | 62.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sieg | clay | 1453 | 53–46 | 99 |
| I. Burillo Escorihuela | clay | 1588 | 144–131 | 275 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 14, 2026.
| W | R. Roura Llaverias | 0 - 2 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| W | T. Lukas | 0 - 2 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| L | K. Tsygourova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | N. Manta | 1 - 2 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| L | V. Wolff | 0 - 2 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | R. Dencheva | 2 - 1 | Sept. 12, 2026 |
| W | E. Yaneva | 2 - 1 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Bulgaru | 2 - 1 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | L. Bronzetti | 1 - 2 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| L | L. Hietaranta | 1 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
All Sept. 15, 2026 results & picks →