TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Sherif vs L. Jeanjean (Contrexeville on 2026-07-11) — the market is efficient, with M. Sherif favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Sherif | L. Jeanjean |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.6% | 44.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
21.4% | 78.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
38.6% | 61.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.6% | 55.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.8% | 39.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sherif | clay | 1837 | 179–72 | 251 |
| L. Jeanjean | clay | 1691 | 111–70 | 181 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 25, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 11, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 |
| Nov. 22, 2025 | Colina | clay | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Frech | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | L. Zhu | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Tubello | 2 - 1 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
All July 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used