TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Sherif vs J. Vandromme (Contrexeville on 2026-07-12) — the market is efficient, with M. Sherif favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Sherif | J. Vandromme |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
72.3% | 27.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.8% | 49.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.3% | 59.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
72.3% | 27.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.9% | 44.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sherif | clay | 1837 | 179–72 | 251 |
| J. Vandromme | hard | 1778 | 66–19 | 85 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 25, 2026.
M. Sherif leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 12, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | J. Grabher | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | P. Hercog | 0 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | V. Wolff | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 1 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Zantedeschi | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
All July 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used