TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Sakkari vs Z. Sonmez (Toronto on 2026-08-06) — the market is efficient, with M. Sakkari favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Sakkari | Z. Sonmez |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
67.1% | 32.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
72.0% | 28.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
43.4% | 56.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.2% | 37.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
66.2% | 33.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sakkari | hard | 1846 | 109–78 | 187 |
| Z. Sonmez | hard | 1722 | 95–68 | 163 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 13, 2026.
M. Sakkari leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 9, 2026 | WTA Doha | hard | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 18, 2025 | Tokyo | hard | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 26, 2025 | Merida | hard | Z. Sonmez | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Korneeva | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | A. Parks | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | H. Dart | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used