TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Korneeva (moneyline) at 2.20 in M. Sakkari vs A. Korneeva (Athens (Greece) - Qualification on 2026-07-18). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Sakkari | A. Korneeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.6% | 46.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.9% | 50.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.4% | 52.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.2% | 47.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.0% | 43.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sakkari | hard | 1854 | 123–87 | 210 |
| A. Korneeva | hard | 1802 | 113–37 | 150 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 7, 2026.
M. Sakkari leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 18, 2026 | Athens (Greece) - Qualification | hard | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Eala | 1 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | A. Sasnovich | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Joint | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 0 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | H. Shi | 2 - 0 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | J. Dong | 0 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | M. Joint | 0 - 1 | Sept. 26, 2026 |
| W | T. Preston | 0 - 2 | Sept. 26, 2026 |
| W | D. Astakhova | 2 - 1 | Sept. 23, 2026 |
All July 18, 2026 results & picks →