TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Okalova vs I. Oz (Iasi on 2026-07-12) — the market is efficient, with I. Oz favoured at 1.11.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Okalova | I. Oz |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
22.5% | 77.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
20.5% | 79.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
55.5% | 44.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
28.9% | 71.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
18.7% | 81.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Okalova | hard | 1307 | 28–32 | 60 |
| I. Oz | clay | 1458 | 118–98 | 216 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 25, 2026.
I. Oz leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 12, 2026 | Iasi | clay | I. Oz | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Alexander | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | I. Oz | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | B. Palicova | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Yamalapalli | 2 - 1 | June 4, 2026 |
| L | C. Brace | 1 - 2 | June 4, 2026 |
| L | O. Oliynykova | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | C. Liu | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | M. Okalova | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Soboleva | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | V. Wolff | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
All July 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used