TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Lajal vs L. Pavlovic (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with M. Lajal favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Lajal | L. Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.3% | 46.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.2% | 25.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.3% | 46.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.3% | 27.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lajal | hard | 1720 | 168–100 | 268 |
| L. Pavlovic | clay | 1555 | 129–77 | 206 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
L. Pavlovic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Wolf | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | K. Rice | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | B. Shick | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Chidekh | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | E. Zhu | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | V. Gaubas | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | M. Martineau | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Smith | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | M. Alkaya | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | Y. Zhou | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used