TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. L. Carle vs L. Havlickova (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with L. Havlickova favoured at 1.60.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. L. Carle | L. Havlickova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.6% | 38.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
42.5% | 57.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.3% | 51.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.2% | 58.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. L. Carle | clay | 1548 | 166–111 | 277 |
| L. Havlickova | clay | 1530 | 57–42 | 99 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
M. L. Carle leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | M. L. Carle | 2 - 1 |
| L | E. Lene | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinina | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | J. Niemeier | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | J. Pieri | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | E. V. Eigelsbach | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Parks | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | H. Tan | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | N. Hibino | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | S. J. Visscher | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used