TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. L. Carle vs J. Vandromme (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with J. Vandromme favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. L. Carle | J. Vandromme |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.8% | 52.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
21.6% | 78.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
47.8% | 52.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
33.3% | 66.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. L. Carle | clay | 1548 | 166–111 | 277 |
| J. Vandromme | hard | 1778 | 66–19 | 85 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
J. Vandromme leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | J. Vandromme | 2 - 1 |
| L | E. Lene | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinina | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | J. Niemeier | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | J. Pieri | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | E. V. Eigelsbach | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | J. Grabher | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | P. Hercog | 0 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | V. Wolff | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 1 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Zantedeschi | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used