TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. L. Carle vs E. Gorgodze (Ljubljana on 2026-09-15) — the market is efficient, with M. L. Carle favoured at 1.38.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. L. Carle | E. Gorgodze |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.1% | 55.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
44.7% | 55.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.4% | 41.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.1% | 50.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.1% | 31.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. L. Carle | clay | 1568 | 173–115 | 288 |
| E. Gorgodze | clay | 1603 | 127–115 | 242 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 11, 2026.
| L | R. Dencheva | 2 - 0 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | E. Vedder | 2 - 0 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | G. Feistel | 2 - 1 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | F. Urgesi | 2 - 1 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | V. Strakhova | 1 - 2 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| L | G. Knutson | 2 - 0 | Aug. 27, 2026 |
| W | D. Papamichail | 0 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Kawa | 2 - 1 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | H. Vandewinkel | 2 - 0 | Aug. 9, 2026 |
| W | C. Dolehide | 0 - 2 | Aug. 8, 2026 |
All Sept. 15, 2026 results & picks →