TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Papamichail +4.0 (game handicap) at 1.98 in M. L. Carle vs D. Papamichail (Cali on 2026-11-03). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. L. Carle | D. Papamichail |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.8% | 37.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
58.3% | 41.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
48.6% | 51.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
56.6% | 43.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.0% | 32.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. L. Carle | clay | 1532 | 175–120 | 295 |
| D. Papamichail | clay | 1472 | 139–128 | 267 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 11, 2026.
D. Papamichail leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 3, 2026 | Cali | clay | D. Papamichail | 2 - 1 |
| Nov. 2, 2021 | Buenos Aires | clay | D. Papamichail | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Bassols | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | A. V. Mediorreal | 2 - 1 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | D. Papamichail | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. Grabher | 0 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Pigossi | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Bulgaru | 2 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | C. Odorizzi | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | I. Reyes Romero | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
All Nov. 3, 2026 results & picks →