TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Kubka (moneyline) at 2.12 in M. Kubka vs M. Bassols (US Open on 2026-08-26). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kubka | M. Bassols |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.4% | 53.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.5% | 50.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
69.2% | 30.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.8% | 46.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kubka | hard | 1665 | 134–77 | 211 |
| M. Bassols | hard | 1592 | 112–85 | 197 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 6, 2026.
M. Kubka leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 26, 2026 | US Open | hard | M. Kubka | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Lansere | 2 - 0 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | F. Sziedat | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | D. Suvirdjonkova | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Blinkova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Pigato | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 1 - 0 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Herazo Gonzalez | 0 - 2 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | A. Tubello | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
All Aug. 26, 2026 results & picks →