TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Kubka (moneyline) at 2.12 in M. Kubka vs M. Bassols (US Open on 2026-08-26). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kubka | M. Bassols |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.4% | 53.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.5% | 50.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
69.2% | 30.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.8% | 46.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kubka | hard | 1656 | 125–73 | 198 |
| M. Bassols | hard | 1552 | 106–82 | 188 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 28, 2026.
M. Kubka leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 26, 2026 | US Open | hard | M. Kubka | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Liutova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | A. Penickova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Barthel | 0 - 2 | Aug. 5, 2026 |
| W | T. Kostovic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | E. Bennemann | 0 - 2 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| L | G. Maristany | 2 - 0 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | M. Kubka | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | D. Astakhova | 1 - 2 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 2 - 0 | Aug. 11, 2026 |
All Aug. 26, 2026 results & picks →