TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Kozyreva vs C. Ngounoue (Ilkley on 2026-06-07) — the market is efficient, with C. Ngounoue favoured at 1.08.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kozyreva | C. Ngounoue |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.0% | 42.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
73.9% | 26.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.9% | 34.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
15.0% | 85.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kozyreva | hard | 1395 | 37–40 | 77 |
| C. Ngounoue | hard | 1528 | 87–55 | 142 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 27, 2026.
C. Ngounoue leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 7, 2026 | Ilkley | grass | C. Ngounoue | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 11, 2024 | ITF W35 Naples, FL Women | clay | C. Ngounoue | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Liutova | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | E. Hozumi | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Ibragimova | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | C. Ngounoue | 0 - 2 | June 7, 2026 |
| L | N. Radisic | 0 - 2 | June 1, 2026 |
| L | V. Lepchenko | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | L. Ma | 1 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | L. Ma | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Yamalapalli | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | P. Kudermetova | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
All June 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used