TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Griffiths vs N. Bains (Ilkley on 2026-06-07) — the market is efficient, with N. Bains favoured at 1.09.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Griffiths | N. Bains |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
68.9% | 31.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
86.9% | 13.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
77.9% | 22.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
15.5% | 84.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Bains | hard | 1537 | 86–86 | 172 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value.
E. Griffiths leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 8, 2026 | Ilkley | grass | E. Griffiths | 2 - 1 |
| L | E. Appleton | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | M. Makarova | 2 - 0 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | N. Bains | 2 - 1 | June 8, 2026 |
| L | V. Valdmannova | 2 - 0 | June 8, 2026 |
| L | J. Otzipka | 2 - 0 | May 7, 2026 |
| L | A. Karunaratne | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | B. Black | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | I. Spink | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | J. Ogunwale | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Dudeney | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
All June 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used