TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Kozyreva vs A. Ibragimova (Iasi on 2026-07-12) — the market is efficient, with A. Ibragimova favoured at 1.05.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kozyreva | A. Ibragimova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
20.7% | 79.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
26.7% | 73.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
21.1% | 78.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
14.4% | 85.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kozyreva | hard | 1395 | 37–40 | 77 |
| A. Ibragimova | clay | 1602 | 62–45 | 107 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 27, 2026.
A. Ibragimova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 12, 2026 | Iasi | clay | A. Ibragimova | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Liutova | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | E. Hozumi | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Ibragimova | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | C. Ngounoue | 0 - 2 | June 7, 2026 |
| L | N. Radisic | 0 - 2 | June 1, 2026 |
| L | L. Bronzetti | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. I. Burcescu | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | C. Burel | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Rame | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
All July 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used