TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Kostyuk vs M. Andreeva (French Open on 2026-06-04) — the market is efficient, with M. Kostyuk favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kostyuk | M. Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.4% | 50.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
53.3% | 46.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.3% | 49.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
51.0% | 49.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.0% | 45.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kostyuk | hard | 1904 | 118–72 | 190 |
| M. Andreeva | hard | 1957 | 93–37 | 130 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 22, 2026.
M. Kostyuk leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 4, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 |
| May 2, 2026 | Madrid | clay | M. Kostyuk | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 9, 2026 | WTA Brisbane | hard | M. Kostyuk | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Noskova | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | E. Navarro | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Linette | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | June 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | June 4, 2026 |
All June 4, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used