TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Shnaider vs M. Chwalinska (French Open on 2026-06-04) — the market is efficient, with D. Shnaider favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Shnaider | M. Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.0% | 45.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
70.3% | 29.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.4% | 55.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
56.6% | 43.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
61.7% | 38.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Shnaider | hard | 1841 | 98–62 | 160 |
| M. Chwalinska | clay | 1841 | 113–59 | 172 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 4, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Chwalinska | 2 - 0 |
| April 30, 2022 | W60 Istanbul | clay | D. Shnaider | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Potapova | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | E. Lys | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Sawangkaew | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Linette | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | June 6, 2026 |
| W | D. Shnaider | 0 - 2 | June 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinskaya | 0 - 2 | June 3, 2026 |
All June 4, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used