TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Kobori vs M. Lewis (Newport on 2026-07-05) — the market is efficient, with M. Kobori favoured at 1.03.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kobori | M. Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.6% | 51.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
78.1% | 21.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
71.9% | 28.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
89.3% | 10.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 2, 2026.
M. Kobori leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 5, 2026 | Newport | grass | M. Kobori | 2 - 1 |
| L | E. Mandlik | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | M. Lewis | 2 - 1 | July 5, 2026 |
| L | Y. Ma | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | V. Osuigwe | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Kulikova | 2 - 1 | June 15, 2026 |
| L | M. Kobori | 2 - 1 | July 5, 2026 |
| L | S. Broadus | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | A. Van Impe | 2 - 0 | April 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Walker | 2 - 0 | April 1, 2026 |
| L | C. M. Garcia | 2 - 0 | March 11, 2026 |
All July 5, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used