TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Kobori vs E. Mandlik (Newport on 2026-07-07) — the market is efficient, with E. Mandlik favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kobori | E. Mandlik |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
39.5% | 60.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
37.1% | 62.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.4% | 62.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
35.5% | 64.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kobori | hard | 1545 | 82–81 | 163 |
| E. Mandlik | hard | 1604 | 98–72 | 170 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 2, 2026.
E. Mandlik leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 8, 2026 | Newport | grass | E. Mandlik | 2 - 0 |
| L | E. Mandlik | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | M. Lewis | 2 - 1 | July 5, 2026 |
| L | Y. Ma | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | V. Osuigwe | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Kulikova | 2 - 1 | June 15, 2026 |
| L | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | K. Cross | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | L. Ma | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Arseneault | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabunshchyk | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
All July 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used